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Mexico faces huge revenue gap, tax reforms planned * Government faces 480 billion peso revenue shortfall * Fiscal reform plan will
accompany 2010 budget proposal * Rainy day funds, spending cuts to help cover 2009 gap
(Adds quote, details on spending plans, fiscal reform) By Jason Lange MEXICO CITY, July 23 (Reuters) - Mexico will have to cut
spending and raid its rainy day savings to cover a 480 billion peso ($36.6
billion) hole blown in government revenues by the recession, Finance
Minister Agustin Carstens said on Thursday. The huge revenue shortfall underscores the severity of
Mexico's deep economic recession, which could be the country's worst
downturn since since the Great Depression. "This could be the biggest single-year decline in
government revenues in history," Carstens told reporters. Despite the budget crunch, Carstens said he would
propose a tax reform package to boost the government's non-oil revenues when
he sends the proposed 2010 budget to Congress. Bond rating agencies have warned that Mexico's credit
rating could be downgraded due to excessive reliance on the country's
slumping oil industry for revenues and puny non-oil tax collections. Carstens said the finance ministry was still working on
specific proposals for tax reform and did not given any additional details
of the plan. However, he did say that the government would commit to
eliminating its budget deficit by 2012. Carstens recently suggested he
favored relaxing Mexico's fiscal responsibility laws to allow the government
to tie its budget to the economic cycle. Mexico's economy has been hammered by a slump in U.S.
demand for its exports like cars and refrigerators as recession-hit U.S.
consumers put off big purchases. The government plans to run a budget
deficit of about 2 percent of gross domestic product this year to help fight
the downturn. Mexico became one of the world's leading exporters after
entering the North America Free Trade Agreement with the United States and
Canada in 1994. But its extensive trade relationship with the United
States, which buys about 80 percent of its exports, has turned Mexico into
the big Latin American country hardest hit by the U.S. recession. SPENDING CUTS To tackle the current budget shortfall, the government will cut a further 50 billion pesos ($3.8 billion) in discretionary spending on Thursday on top of a 35 billion peso ($2.6 billion) reduction announced in May It also plans to tap its rainy day savings funds for
another 92.4 billion pesos ($7 billion) and expects to earn 100 billion
pesos ($7.6 billion) from hedges on oil revenues. The rest of the revenue shortfall will be covered with central bank exchange profits, reductions in non-discretionary government outlays and unspecified nonrecurring income, the finance ministry said in a statement. ($1=13.22 Mexican pesos) (Writing by Robert Campbell; Editing by Phil Berlowitz)
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