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UN claims talks progress, despite finance, targets impasse
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International negotiations for a post-2012 deal have stepped up a gear, UN
climate chief Yvo de Boer claimed after two weeks of talks in Bonn this
month – but he admitted that developed countries are still showing a lack of
ambition on 2020 emissions cuts.
“This session has made clear what governments want to see in the Copenhagen
agreement,” de Boer said at the end of talks in Bonn, which ran from 1–12
June. But, he added, there is “no question that industrialised countries
need to raise their sights higher in terms of mid-term emissions cuts”.
He later said that the targets put forward so far by developed countries
equate to a maximum aggregate cut of 24% below 1990 levels – but that does
not include the US or Russia, “two very significant parties, which will
impact the range”. He added that the negotiating process “would be greatly
improved by progress on the issue of finance”.
Shyam Saran of the Indian delegation said that the targets being presented
for post-2012 “are not on the scale needed” and slammed attempts by some
nations, such as Japan, to alter the baseline year against which targets are
measured. “Given the science, 40% [below 1990] seems to be a reasonable
target,” he said.
“I hope they can increase their ambitions,” said Chinese negotiator Fei Teng
of Japan’s pledge to cut its emissions by 15% compared with 2005 levels –
which is around 8% below 1990 emissions. “They should set their target based
on science and the principle of sharing the atmospheric space equally.”
Jonathan Pershing, the lead negotiator for the US, told reporters that: “We
recognise and accept ... that the US has historical responsibility for the
largest share of emissions going back,” and unveiled a proposal which would
see developed countries commit to emissions cuts while developing countries
commit to binding actions.
The two-week meeting also failed to make progress on the issue of finance
for developing countries, although proposals from Mexico and Norway appear
to be gaining traction. Mexico’s proposal would see all parties contribute
to a central fund, based on a pre-agreed indicator such as GDP, while Norway
has pushed for a percentage of allowances issued to governments with
emissions caps to be auctioned – a controversial proposal that stalled wider
reforms last December in Poznan, Poland.
Zhu Liucai, also from China’s negotiating team, told Carbon Finance that
governments from developed countries must lead the way on finance for
climate change adaptation, mitigation and technology transfer. “Public
finance can play a catalytic role, to leverage the private sector ... If
everything depends on the market itself, then why are we here?”
China has proposed that 0.5–1% of developed countries’ GDP each year be put
into a central fund to finance technology transfer, climate change
adaptation and mitigation measures, and capacity building in developing
nations.
“Japan believes in the potential of the carbon market,” added Kuni Shimada,
one of the principal negotiators for Japan. “Public financing needs to be
scaled up, but we need to recognise the enormous role of the private
sector,” which is crucial to secure a deal in Copenhagen and to ensure its
implementation, he told Carbon Finance.
As the talks progressed, the text for the group dealing with long-term
action under the convention (AWG-LCA) ballooned from 53 pages to more than
200. The text “is much bigger, much richer”, said LCA chairman Michael
Zammit Cutajar, adding that discussions were “surprisingly calm – but of
course there will be storms ahead”. Countries will start trying to cut the
text down at the next meeting, in August, he said.
“Everyone has thrown everything but the kitchen sink in there,” said Andrei
Marcu, senior adviser on climate and emissions trading at law firm Bennett
Jones in Toronto, Canada. “It will now be a challenging job in August.” He
added that there has been a lot of duplication of effort as the AWG-LCA
talks remain separate from those under a track for parties to the Kyoto
Protocol (AWG-KP), as “people want to make sure everything is everywhere,”
especially as there remains a lack of clarity over when the two tracks will
merge.
And with the focus mostly on emissions targets and finance, little else got
done, said Alex Sarac, general counsel for project developer EcoSecurities.
“Everything was on hold as everyone was talking about the numbers – it’s
very draining for the negotiators,” he said, adding that a couple of issues
relating to reform of Kyoto’s project-based mechanisms could have been dealt
with during the two weeks.
“The whole thing is frustrating, from the perspective of the mechanisms,”
Sarac added, saying that some proposals on the table, such as a sector-based
Clean Development Mechanism, are complex and need attention. “If offsetting
and emissions trading are not being dealt with, we could lose the
opportunity to engage with developing countries,” he said.
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